Stanford (-2.5) at Arizona State
Thu. 10/18, 7:30 p.m. ET
Three issues you should know earlier than betting on Stanford-Arizona State:
1. With each Stanford and Arizona State coming off a bye, it’s by no means a foul thought to attempt to again the higher coach. Herm Edwards has impressed to a sure diploma in his early ASU profession, however David Shaw is indisputably a sharper coach at this level. Stanford has persistently been a top-tier workforce since Shaw took over for Jim Harbaugh, and that doesn’t change when the Cardinal are coming off a bye week. In Shaw’s eight seasons as Stanford’s coach, the workforce is 6-2 straight up when coming off a bye—which implies lots with a variety as little as this one. The Cardinal have additionally gained and lined after every of their previous two bye weeks. The additional relaxation was of explicit significance to Stanford: Star working again Bryce Love needed to miss the Cardinal’s sport in opposition to Utah two weeks in the past, however he is now had sufficient time to verify he’ll be on the market on Thursday. Additionally price noting is the truth that Stanford is a formidable 7-Zero in opposition to the unfold because the begin of final season when going through offenses which are averaging no less than 5.9 yards per play on the season.
2. Stanford’s protection has struggled in latest weeks, permitting 36.three factors per sport over the previous three video games. Nevertheless it’s nonetheless necessary to notice that the Cardinal have allowed simply seven passing touchdowns on the season—which is just one.2 touchdowns per sport by means of the air. Going up in opposition to quarterback Manny Wilkins, who has thrown for 1,446 yards with 11 touchdowns and just one choose this season, Stanford defenders are going to be assured that they will hold the Solar Devils in test. They’ll have to pay some additional consideration to star wideout N’Keal Harry, who is perhaps one of the best receiver within the nation. And whereas the protection was gashed by the run in video games in opposition to Oregon, Notre Dame and Utah, it’s extraordinarily possible that many of the bye week was spent determining a method to hold Arizona State working again Eno Benjamin in test. The Solar Devils sophomore has rushed for a ridiculous 536 yards with six touchdowns over the previous three video games. However 312 of these yards got here in opposition to Oregon State, which has the eighth-worst speeding protection in FBS.
three. There was loads of love for Arizona State’s rush protection after a 16-13 win over Michigan State within the second week of the season, however the Solar Devils have fallen aside since then. Over the previous 4 video games, Arizona State has given up a mean of 227.three yards per sport on the bottom—solely 13 groups within the nation have a worse full-season common. Heading right into a sport in opposition to Love, one of many nation’s most explosive backs, the Solar Devils must be a bit involved. When these groups met final season, Love rushed for 301 yards and three touchdowns on solely 25 carries. It’s extremely unlikely he’ll repeat that efficiency this week, but it surely wouldn’t be stunning if he ran wild on Thursday.
Choose: Stanford -2.5
Confidence Degree: Excessive (on a scale of Low/Reasonable/Excessive/Very Excessive/Extraordinarily Excessive)